Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Hischier wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 56.2% vs Carrick 53.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 83.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 74.4%
Neutral zone
Hischier 56.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Hischier
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Hischier
Carrick
Last 10: Hischier 6-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
6
0
Hischier
Carrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
6
Hischier
Carrick
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
0
Hischier
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (1,018)
53.9% (521)
+2.2%
Power Play
59.9% (289)
57.1% (35)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (80)
51.5% (229)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Hischier shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Hischier
Carrick
Home
56.5% (706)
52.7% (408)
Away
56.7% (681)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Hischier
Carrick
P1
54.8%
51.4%
P2
57.8%
56.6%
P3
57.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
54.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |