Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.2% vs Carrick 53.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 72.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 69.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 65.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Hischier
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hischier
Carrick
Last 5: Hischier 1-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Hischier
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Hischier
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,228)
53.8% (654)
+2.0%
Power Play
62.1% (282)
0.0% (2)
+62.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (267)
63.9% (36)
-16.3%
On power play, Hischier has a +62.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Hischier is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (590).
Hischier shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Hischier
Carrick
Home
56.5% (867)
50.0% (328)
Away
54.6% (910)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Hischier
Carrick
P1
57.9%
56.7%
P2
55.9%
51.1%
P3
52.7%
54.8%
Final 5 min
55.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |