Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 54.5%). Hischier wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 54.9% vs Carrick 53.8% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Hischier 72.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 73.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Hischier
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,107)
55.1% (439)
-0.1%
Power Play
63.1% (252)
66.7% (3)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (149)
49.1% (53)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Hischier shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Hischier
Carrick
Home
56.5% (763)
58.2% (225)
Away
54.0% (745)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Hischier
Carrick
P1
56.0%
56.7%
P2
57.6%
52.8%
P3
53.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
54.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%