Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Hischier wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 54.9% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 59.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 58.4%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 53.0%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Hischier
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hischier
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Hischier
Jarvis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,107)
44.2% (52)
+10.8%
Power Play
63.1% (252)
33.3% (6)
+29.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (149)
40.0% (15)
+3.6%
On power play, Hischier has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Hischier shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Hischier
Jarvis
Home
56.5% (763)
43.6% (39)
Away
54.0% (745)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Hischier
Jarvis
P1
56.0%
37.5%
P2
57.6%
48.3%
P3
53.0%
38.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |