Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +21.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.2% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+21.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 73.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 97.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 85.5%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Hischier
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Hischier
Jarvis
Last 5: Hischier 5-0 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
0
Hischier
Jarvis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
0
Hischier
Jarvis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,228)
32.1% (81)
+23.7%
Power Play
62.1% (282)
38.6% (57)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (267)
28.6% (14)
+19.0%
On even strength, Hischier has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Hischier is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (590).
Hischier shoots left. Jarvis is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Hischier
Jarvis
Home
56.5% (867)
40.6% (69)
Away
54.6% (910)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Hischier
Jarvis
P1
57.9%
30.9%
P2
55.9%
30.6%
P3
52.7%
47.1%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |