Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 56.2% vs Jarvis 45.8% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 94.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 75.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 89.6%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Hischier
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Hischier
Jarvis
Last 6: Hischier 6-0 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
0
Hischier
Jarvis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Jarvis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
0
Hischier
Jarvis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (1,018)
46.2% (171)
+9.9%
Power Play
59.9% (289)
51.9% (54)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (80)
39.4% (127)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Hischier shoots left. Jarvis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Hischier
Jarvis
Home
56.5% (706)
46.1% (204)
Away
56.7% (681)
42.6% (148)
By Period
Hischier
Jarvis
P1
54.8%
42.5%
P2
57.8%
42.9%
P3
57.6%
48.7%
Final 5 min
54.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |