Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.6% vs Jarvis 42.6% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 12-1 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 93.7%
Defensive zone
Hischier 93.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 90.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Hischier
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
1
(13 meetings)
12
1
Hischier
Jarvis
Last 10: Hischier 9-1 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
1
Hischier
Jarvis
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
0
Hischier
Jarvis
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
0
Hischier
Jarvis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (8,379)
42.0% (352)
+9.5%
Power Play
59.7% (1,736)
43.7% (119)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (903)
38.2% (157)
+11.2%
On power play, Hischier has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,970).
Hischier shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Hischier
Jarvis
Home
53.0% (5,449)
43.8% (336)
Away
52.2% (5,569)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Hischier
Jarvis
P1
52.9%
39.7%
P2
52.4%
39.5%
P3
52.6%
46.1%
OT
50.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |