Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Hischier wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 56.2% vs Johnston 50.1% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 68.2%
Defensive zone
Johnston 73.9%
Neutral zone
Johnston 57.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Hischier
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hischier
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Hischier
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (1,018)
50.7% (552)
+5.4%
Power Play
59.9% (289)
61.5% (13)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (80)
43.5% (69)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Hischier shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Hischier
Johnston
Home
56.5% (706)
50.3% (342)
Away
56.7% (681)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Hischier
Johnston
P1
54.8%
54.4%
P2
57.8%
47.2%
P3
57.6%
49.4%
OT
14.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.6%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |