Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Hischier wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.2% vs Johnston 51.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 80.8%
Defensive zone
Hischier 60.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.6%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Hischier
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Hischier
Johnston
Last 10: Hischier 6-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
6
3
Hischier
Johnston
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
1
Hischier
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
1
Hischier
Johnston
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,228)
52.6% (696)
+3.2%
Power Play
62.1% (282)
52.3% (88)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (267)
42.4% (125)
+5.2%
On power play, Hischier has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hischier is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (590).
Hischier shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Hischier
Johnston
Home
56.5% (867)
52.8% (458)
Away
54.6% (910)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Hischier
Johnston
P1
57.9%
48.9%
P2
55.9%
52.3%
P3
52.7%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:58 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |