Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 54.9% vs Johnston 48.5% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 79.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 71.2%
Neutral zone
Hischier 70.6%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Hischier
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hischier
Johnston
Last 7: Hischier 5-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
0
Hischier
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hischier
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hischier
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,107)
47.8% (623)
+7.2%
Power Play
63.1% (252)
50.8% (63)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (149)
51.4% (35)
-7.8%
On power play, Hischier has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Hischier shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Hischier
Johnston
Home
56.5% (763)
47.6% (351)
Away
54.0% (745)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Hischier
Johnston
P1
56.0%
49.6%
P2
57.6%
47.3%
P3
53.0%
48.0%
OT
33.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |