Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 50.9% vs Sturm 59.0% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 84.4%
Defensive zone
Amadio 59.8%
Neutral zone
Amadio 70.0%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Amadio
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Amadio
Sturm
Last 6: Amadio 1-5 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Amadio
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
3
Amadio
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
60.6% (708)
-9.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
61.1% (18)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
56.4% (101)
+10.3%
On power play, Sturm has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Amadio is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Amadio shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Amadio
Sturm
Home
50.6% (85)
61.6% (451)
Away
53.1% (49)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Amadio
Sturm
P1
62.2%
55.9%
P2
43.2%
58.9%
P3
48.9%
64.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |