Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 53.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 52.1% vs Sturm 52.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 80.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 63.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 54.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Geekie
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Geekie
Sturm
Last 5: Geekie 1-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Geekie
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Geekie
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (615)
54.0% (480)
-0.8%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
28.6% (7)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
50.0% (102)
-5.6%
On power play, Geekie has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Geekie shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Geekie
Sturm
Home
55.0% (331)
54.0% (287)
Away
50.0% (338)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Geekie
Sturm
P1
53.9%
53.5%
P2
56.0%
51.0%
P3
46.5%
55.1%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |