Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Zacha 50.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 82.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 62.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Sturm
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Sturm
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
48.0% (296)
+6.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.0% (59)
-32.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
50.0% (22)
+0.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Sturm shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Sturm
Zacha
Home
54.0% (287)
48.9% (223)
Away
52.0% (302)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Sturm
Zacha
P1
53.5%
47.9%
P2
51.0%
48.3%
P3
55.1%
54.3%
OT
20.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |