Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Zacha 46.5% (+10.5%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 77.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 83.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Sturm
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
45.3% (247)
+10.8%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
58.1% (31)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
22.2% (18)
+28.9%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Sturm shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Sturm
Zacha
Home
55.6% (412)
39.7% (131)
Away
56.0% (468)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Sturm
Zacha
P1
59.6%
42.9%
P2
52.0%
46.4%
P3
55.5%
42.3%
OT
60.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
56.8%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%