Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kupari on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sturm wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Kupari 50.4% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Kupari leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kupari 71.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 57.8%
Neutral zone
Kupari 56.6%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Sturm
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Sturm
Kupari
Last 10: Sturm 5-5 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
1
3
Sturm
Kupari
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
1
Sturm
Kupari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
2
Sturm
Kupari
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
50.5% (1,275)
+6.6%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
43.5% (23)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
50.4% (139)
+0.6%
On power play, Sturm has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Sturm is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,093).
Sturm shoots left. Kupari is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
Sturm
Kupari
Home
57.1% (1,614)
51.4% (782)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
49.2% (655)
By Period
Sturm
Kupari
P1
56.5%
49.9%
P2
54.9%
48.5%
P3
57.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |