Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sturm wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Kupari 53.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 83.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 62.4%
Neutral zone
Kupari 64.9%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Sturm
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sturm
Kupari
Last 6: Sturm 2-4 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
2
Sturm
Kupari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
1
Sturm
Kupari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Sturm
Kupari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
53.6% (379)
+2.5%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
66.7% (6)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
72.2% (18)
-21.1%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Sturm shoots left. Kupari is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Sturm
Kupari
Home
55.6% (412)
55.5% (245)
Away
56.0% (468)
53.2% (158)
By Period
Sturm
Kupari
P1
59.6%
58.8%
P2
52.0%
47.8%
P3
55.5%
57.4%
Final 5 min
56.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |