Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Kupari 44.4% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 70.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 78.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.3%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Sturm
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sturm
Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Sturm
Kupari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Kupari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
42.9% (275)
+11.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
35.7% (14)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
42.9% (14)
+7.1%
On even strength, Sturm has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Sturm shoots left. Kupari is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Sturm
Kupari
Home
54.0% (287)
46.6% (163)
Away
52.0% (302)
37.9% (140)
By Period
Sturm
Kupari
P1
53.5%
38.7%
P2
51.0%
42.5%
P3
55.1%
47.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |