Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sturm wins 64.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Kupari 52.1% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 81.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 52.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 82.0%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Sturm
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Sturm
Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Kupari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
1
Sturm
Kupari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
53.5% (413)
+8.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
48.2% (85)
-9.5%
On power play, Sturm has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Sturm shoots left. Kupari is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Sturm
Kupari
Home
61.8% (191)
52.1% (257)
Away
56.3% (231)
52.9% (242)
By Period
Sturm
Kupari
P1
58.0%
50.6%
P2
57.9%
53.6%
P3
60.6%
53.3%
Final 5 min
58.3%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |