Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.0%). Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Hintz 52.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 81.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 82.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Sturm
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sturm
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Sturm
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
52.9% (526)
+1.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
57.4% (108)
-28.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
42.5% (40)
+7.5%
On power play, Hintz has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Sturm shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Sturm
Hintz
Home
54.0% (287)
53.8% (329)
Away
52.0% (302)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Sturm
Hintz
P1
53.5%
55.6%
P2
51.0%
53.0%
P3
55.1%
51.7%
OT
20.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2021 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |