Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Hintz 58.0% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 80.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 83.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 57.5%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Sturm
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sturm
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Sturm
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
58.7% (530)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
66.7% (27)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Sturm shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Sturm
Hintz
Home
53.0% (168)
60.2% (354)
Away
56.0% (193)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Sturm
Hintz
P1
58.2%
58.4%
P2
53.2%
59.8%
P3
52.3%
58.2%
OT
100.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
55.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |