Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Hintz 53.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 83.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 72.2%
Neutral zone
Hintz 56.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Sturm
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Sturm
Hintz
Last 10: Sturm 4-6 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
6
Sturm
Hintz
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sturm
Hintz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
53.8% (3,722)
+3.3%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
55.4% (567)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
52.9% (221)
-1.9%
On power play, Sturm has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Sturm shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Sturm
Hintz
Home
57.1% (1,614)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Sturm
Hintz
P1
56.5%
55.5%
P2
54.9%
53.9%
P3
57.4%
52.7%
OT
60.6%
49.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 5, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 20, 2021 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |