Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Sturm wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs McLeod 48.4% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 55.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 89.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 73.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Sturm
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Sturm
McLeod
Last 10: Sturm 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Sturm
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
7
0
Sturm
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Sturm
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
49.0% (500)
+7.1%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
43.8% (48)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
44.0% (50)
+7.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Sturm shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Sturm
McLeod
Home
55.6% (412)
50.9% (291)
Away
56.0% (468)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Sturm
McLeod
P1
59.6%
44.3%
P2
52.0%
52.4%
P3
55.5%
47.8%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |