Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sturm wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Strome 44.4% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 57.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 84.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 62.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Sturm
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Sturm
Strome
Last 9: Sturm 5-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sturm
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
0
Sturm
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Sturm
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
43.0% (788)
+13.1%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
47.9% (96)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
50.0% (34)
+1.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Sturm shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Sturm
Strome
Home
55.6% (412)
42.6% (486)
Away
56.0% (468)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Sturm
Strome
P1
59.6%
41.0%
P2
52.0%
47.8%
P3
55.5%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |