Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sturm wins 67.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Strome 46.8% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 79.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 96.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 91.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Sturm
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Sturm
Strome
Last 5: Sturm 5-0 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
4
0
Sturm
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
46.4% (371)
+14.2%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
43.3% (97)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
55.6% (18)
+0.8%
On power play, Sturm has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Sturm shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Sturm
Strome
Home
61.6% (451)
47.6% (225)
Away
58.2% (376)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Sturm
Strome
P1
55.9%
45.4%
P2
58.9%
47.6%
P3
64.6%
45.2%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |