Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Sturm wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Strome 44.6% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 66.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 95.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 91.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Sturm
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Sturm
Strome
Last 10: Sturm 9-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
1
Sturm
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
8
0
Sturm
Strome
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Sturm
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
44.1% (6,839)
+13.0%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
49.3% (854)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
41.5% (410)
+9.5%
On even strength, Sturm has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Sturm is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,093).
Sturm shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Sturm
Strome
Home
57.1% (1,614)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Sturm
Strome
P1
56.5%
44.0%
P2
54.9%
45.3%
P3
57.4%
44.3%
OT
60.6%
46.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |