Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 64.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Pinto 50.1% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 61.7%
Defensive zone
Pinto 64.0%
Neutral zone
Pinto 56.9%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Sturm
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sturm
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Sturm
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
50.4% (779)
+11.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
55.2% (29)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
44.9% (78)
-6.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Sturm shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Sturm
Pinto
Home
61.8% (191)
52.4% (454)
Away
56.3% (231)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Sturm
Pinto
P1
58.0%
48.1%
P2
57.9%
52.9%
P3
60.6%
49.3%
Final 5 min
58.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |