Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Pinto 50.7% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Pinto 58.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 54.5%
Neutral zone
Pinto 52.0%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Sturm
Pinto
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
50.2% (520)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
49.4% (89)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Sturm shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Sturm
Pinto
Home
53.0% (168)
48.8% (301)
Away
56.0% (193)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Sturm
Pinto
P1
58.2%
51.2%
P2
53.2%
48.9%
P3
52.3%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%