Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sturm wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Pinto 50.3% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 72.3%
Defensive zone
Pinto 70.5%
Neutral zone
Pinto 72.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Sturm
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Sturm
Pinto
Last 9: Sturm 3-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Sturm
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
3
Sturm
Pinto
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sturm
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
50.6% (2,716)
+6.5%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
54.4% (90)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
44.9% (234)
+6.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Sturm is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,093).
Sturm shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Home / Away
Sturm
Pinto
Home
57.1% (1,614)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Sturm
Pinto
P1
56.5%
48.3%
P2
54.9%
51.7%
P3
57.4%
50.9%
OT
60.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |