Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 67.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Lewis 44.4% (+17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 67.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 82.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 69.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Sturm
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Sturm
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
45.7% (210)
+14.9%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
71.4% (7)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
33.7% (95)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Sturm shoots left. Lewis is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Sturm
Lewis
Home
61.6% (451)
48.8% (166)
Away
58.2% (376)
35.6% (146)
By Period
Sturm
Lewis
P1
55.9%
37.9%
P2
58.9%
46.7%
P3
64.6%
42.7%
Final 5 min
59.5%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |