Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Sturm wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Lewis 43.2% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 62.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 92.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 84.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Sturm
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Sturm
Lewis
Last 10: Sturm 6-4 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
1
Sturm
Lewis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
6
0
Sturm
Lewis
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
2
5
Sturm
Lewis
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
43.2% (2,347)
+13.9%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
51.9% (108)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
38.6% (365)
+12.4%
On even strength, Sturm has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Sturm is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,093).
Sturm shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Sturm
Lewis
Home
57.1% (1,614)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Sturm
Lewis
P1
56.5%
42.8%
P2
54.9%
43.9%
P3
57.4%
41.9%
OT
60.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |