Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Roy 48.9% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 85.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 54.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 69.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Henrique
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Henrique
Roy
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Henrique
Roy
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
49.5% (746)
+4.9%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
50.7% (75)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
42.7% (110)
+3.5%
On power play, Henrique has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Henrique
Roy
Home
55.3% (237)
47.7% (491)
Away
55.8% (260)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Henrique
Roy
P1
53.5%
51.1%
P2
64.8%
44.6%
P3
47.3%
50.9%
OT
58.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 29, 2021 | OT | 01:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |