Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Roy 48.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 89.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 66.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Henrique
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Henrique
Roy
Last 6: Henrique 5-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
48.3% (633)
+3.6%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
52.1% (48)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
43.7% (87)
-1.0%
On power play, Henrique has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Henrique
Roy
Home
53.1% (339)
50.8% (376)
Away
49.1% (330)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Henrique
Roy
P1
48.5%
53.8%
P2
48.6%
43.5%
P3
54.2%
46.4%
OT
70.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |