Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Roy 48.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 91.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 64.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 75.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Jenner
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jenner
Roy
Last 5: Jenner 4-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
48.3% (633)
+5.9%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
52.1% (48)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
43.7% (87)
+6.0%
On power play, Jenner has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Jenner
Roy
Home
56.7% (693)
50.8% (376)
Away
52.7% (693)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Jenner
Roy
P1
57.1%
53.8%
P2
54.1%
43.5%
P3
53.0%
46.4%
OT
61.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |