Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.0%). Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Roy 48.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 60.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 56.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Compher
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Compher
Roy
Last 5: Compher 1-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Compher
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Compher
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
48.3% (633)
+1.0%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
52.1% (48)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
43.7% (87)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Compher is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Compher shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Compher
Roy
Home
50.7% (872)
50.8% (376)
Away
46.8% (793)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Compher
Roy
P1
49.9%
53.8%
P2
47.9%
43.5%
P3
49.0%
46.4%
OT
46.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |