Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Beniers wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.5% vs Roy 48.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 75.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 56.7%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Beniers
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Beniers
Roy
Last 10: Beniers 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
4
Beniers
Roy
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
7
Beniers
Roy
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
6
Beniers
Roy
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (3,610)
48.9% (3,621)
-2.4%
Power Play
47.1% (350)
49.3% (276)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
44.9% (463)
-3.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,394).
Beniers shoots left. Roy is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,208).
Home / Away
Beniers
Roy
Home
48.8% (2,092)
49.5% (2,186)
Away
44.0% (1,979)
47.4% (2,174)
By Period
Beniers
Roy
P1
47.3%
51.0%
P2
47.0%
46.1%
P3
45.5%
48.3%
OT
34.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
46.4%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |