Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.4%). Roy wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.5% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 60.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 54.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Roy
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Roy
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (3,621)
49.6% (2,027)
-0.7%
Power Play
49.3% (276)
41.5% (41)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (463)
43.9% (467)
+1.0%
On power play, Roy has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,152).
Roy shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Roy
Carpenter
Home
49.5% (2,186)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
47.4% (2,174)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Roy
Carpenter
P1
51.0%
49.6%
P2
46.1%
47.7%
P3
48.3%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |