Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 71.5%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 63.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 58.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Roy
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Roy
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
53.2% (299)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
33.3% (3)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
46.5% (86)
-3.8%
On power play, Roy has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Roy shoots right. Carpenter is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Roy
Carpenter
Home
47.7% (491)
54.6% (207)
Away
50.0% (440)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Roy
Carpenter
P1
51.1%
52.3%
P2
44.6%
51.5%
P3
50.9%
50.8%
Final 5 min
51.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |