Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 70.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Roy
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
53.1% (113)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
100.0% (1)
-47.9%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
60.0% (10)
-16.3%
On power play, Carpenter has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Roy shoots right. Carpenter is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Roy
Carpenter
Home
50.8% (376)
58.5% (65)
Away
45.4% (392)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Roy
Carpenter
P1
53.8%
65.8%
P2
43.5%
50.0%
P3
46.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%