Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Carpenter 48.2% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Roy 53.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 52.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 57.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Roy
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
48.8% (404)
-1.3%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
100.0% (1)
-60.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
43.6% (101)
+2.8%
On power play, Carpenter has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Roy shoots right. Carpenter is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Roy
Carpenter
Home
47.2% (398)
48.9% (274)
Away
46.3% (369)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Roy
Carpenter
P1
48.6%
51.9%
P2
48.8%
49.4%
P3
43.9%
41.8%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
46.8%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%