Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Couturier 53.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 91.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 51.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 88.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Roy
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Roy
Couturier
Last 7: Roy 5-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
53.8% (1,003)
-6.3%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
56.4% (202)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
42.7% (89)
+3.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Roy
Couturier
Home
47.2% (398)
54.4% (680)
Away
46.3% (369)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Roy
Couturier
P1
48.6%
56.3%
P2
48.8%
51.8%
P3
43.9%
52.2%
OT
0.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |