Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Couturier 52.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 55.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Roy
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Roy
Couturier
Last 10: Roy 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Roy
Couturier
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
6
Roy
Couturier
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
52.5% (11,063)
-3.8%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
59.7% (1,280)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
48.5% (1,816)
-3.0%
On power play, Couturier has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Roy
Couturier
Home
49.5% (2,221)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Roy
Couturier
P1
50.8%
52.5%
P2
46.3%
52.6%
P3
48.1%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
49.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |