Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Couturier 55.6% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 60.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 62.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Roy
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Roy
Couturier
Last 5: Roy 2-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Roy
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
55.1% (1,008)
-6.5%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
64.1% (142)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
53.3% (45)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Roy shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Roy
Couturier
Home
49.3% (345)
58.1% (609)
Away
46.4% (433)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Roy
Couturier
P1
47.6%
55.3%
P2
47.1%
55.8%
P3
47.9%
57.4%
OT
75.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |