Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Roy wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Wright 41.4% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 85.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 61.8%
Neutral zone
Wright 68.9%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Roy
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Roy
Wright
Last 8: Roy 3-5 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Roy
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
3
4
Roy
Wright
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
39.5% (453)
+12.4%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
42.4% (59)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
0.0% (1)
+53.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Roy shoots right. Wright is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Roy
Wright
Home
54.0% (328)
39.5% (286)
Away
50.6% (348)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Roy
Wright
P1
53.5%
39.9%
P2
51.6%
37.1%
P3
51.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 01:21 | Neutral | Shane Wright |