Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Wright 45.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 50.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 67.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Roy
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Roy
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
43.9% (758)
+4.7%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
50.7% (67)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
40.0% (5)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Wright has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Roy shoots right. Wright is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Roy
Wright
Home
49.3% (345)
46.3% (406)
Away
46.4% (433)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Roy
Wright
P1
47.6%
46.8%
P2
47.1%
42.6%
P3
47.9%
44.4%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.7%
Wright
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.5%