Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.5% vs Wright 43.1% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 67.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Roy
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Roy
Wright
Last 5: Roy 2-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
2
3
Roy
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (3,621)
42.3% (1,209)
+6.6%
Power Play
49.3% (276)
46.9% (113)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (463)
33.3% (6)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,152).
Roy shoots right. Wright is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Roy
Wright
Home
49.5% (2,186)
44.0% (671)
Away
47.4% (2,174)
41.2% (657)
By Period
Roy
Wright
P1
51.0%
44.2%
P2
46.1%
41.4%
P3
48.3%
42.7%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Wright
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 01:21 | Neutral | Shane Wright |