Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 61.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 53.0% vs Wright 40.3% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 83.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 77.3%
Neutral zone
Wright 59.7%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Roy
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Roy
Wright
Last 5: Roy 2-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
2
3
Roy
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (449)
37.2% (344)
+16.7%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
43.9% (41)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (78)
0.0% (1)
+51.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Roy is 61.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Roy shoots right. Wright is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Roy
Wright
Home
54.9% (293)
37.0% (211)
Away
51.9% (264)
38.9% (175)
By Period
Roy
Wright
P1
55.0%
37.5%
P2
51.7%
38.4%
P3
53.7%
38.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
53.5%
Wright
34.0%▼
36.5%
37.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 01:21 | Neutral | Shane Wright |