Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 78.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Roy
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
55.3% (628)
-7.0%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
55.1% (216)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
40.2% (87)
+3.5%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Roy shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Roy
Stamkos
Home
50.8% (376)
55.5% (499)
Away
45.4% (392)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Roy
Stamkos
P1
53.8%
50.7%
P2
43.5%
53.8%
P3
46.4%
55.9%
OT
75.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%