Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 63.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 81.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Roy
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roy
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Roy
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
55.9% (499)
-8.4%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
56.3% (126)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
58.3% (12)
-11.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Roy shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Roy
Stamkos
Home
47.2% (398)
55.3% (349)
Away
46.3% (369)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Roy
Stamkos
P1
48.6%
57.0%
P2
48.8%
59.2%
P3
43.9%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:23 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |