Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Boyd 45.8% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 63.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 68.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Roy
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Roy
Boyd
Last 7: Roy 5-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Boyd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Roy
Boyd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Boyd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
45.9% (784)
+3.6%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
43.2% (81)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
40.3% (62)
+2.4%
On power play, Roy has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Roy shoots right. Boyd is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Roy
Boyd
Home
47.7% (491)
45.1% (501)
Away
50.0% (440)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Roy
Boyd
P1
51.1%
45.9%
P2
44.6%
44.6%
P3
50.9%
45.8%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |