Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Roy wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Boyd 43.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyd 57.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 71.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 61.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Roy
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Roy
Boyd
Last 9: Roy 5-4 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Roy
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
2
Roy
Boyd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
43.4% (893)
+4.9%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
51.5% (136)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
34.6% (127)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Roy shoots right. Boyd is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Roy
Boyd
Home
50.8% (376)
46.0% (570)
Away
45.4% (392)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Roy
Boyd
P1
53.8%
38.9%
P2
43.5%
50.4%
P3
46.4%
41.1%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |